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BoJ's Nakamura: Inflation may not reach 2% from FY 2025 on if consumption weakens

2024-06-21FXStreetFXStreet
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) board member Toyoaki Nakamura said on Thursday that based on current data, it is appropriate to maintain policy intact for the time being, per Reuters.

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) board member Toyoaki Nakamura said on Thursday that based on current data, it is appropriate to maintain policy intact for the time being, per Reuters.

Key quotes 

Closely watching real wages

Warns Japan's economy at critical juncture

Uncertainty remains on sustainability of wage increases

Weak impact of rising wages on prices

Japan's economy recovering moderately albeit some weak signs

My view is that inflation may not reach 2% from fiscal 2025 onward if consumption weakens

Will focus on whether inflation-adjusted consumption turns positive, in deciding future monetary policy

Based on current data, it is appropriate to keep policy intact for time being

Pass-through of wages to inflation remains weak but closely monitoring situation

Households' purchasing power is weak, solid rise in disposable income is needed for households to boost spending

Personally not confident that wage growth will be sustained

Want to check whether capex growth will become broad-based, as some smaller firms appear to be delaying investment due to supply constraints

Structural changes in economy are necessary for Japan to sustainably, stably achieve BOJ's 2% inflation target

Market reaction

At the time of writing, USD/JPY is trading 0.27% lower on the day at 155.66.

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