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British Pound (GBP/USD) Latest – Volatility on the Horizon?

2024-06-07iFOREXiFOREX
Credit ratings agency Moody’s has changed its outlook for the UK from negative to stable and confirmed the countries’ Aaa3 rating

The British Pound is little changed as traders open their books for the week with little macro news around to start a move. The situation in the Middle East remains unpredictable and very volatile, while the proposed Israel move into Gaza is seemingly still on hold. Market sentiment is risk-averse at the open and likely to stay that way ahead of a week packed full of potentially volatile releases and events. The delayed UK unemployment will be released tomorrow morning (07:00 UK) before the latest S&P Global PMIs hit the screens at 09:30 GMT.

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Another rating agency, Moody’s, was in the news recently after it upgraded the UK’s long-term outlook to stable from negative and reaffirmed the UK’s Aaa3 rating. Moody’s placed a negative outlook on the UK after ex-PM Liz Truss’s disastrous mini-budget last year. The next UK Budget will be on November 22nd.

UK government bond yields remain elevated ahead of next week’s BoE meeting with the 10-year benchmark eyeing a fresh re-test of levels last seen in August 2008. The daily chart shows a triple top formation for UK 10-year yields, a pattern that normally suggests that the market is set to turn lower.

UK 10-Year Gilt Yields

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Cable remains stuck in a short-term range between 1.2089 (78.6% Fibonacci retracement) and a prior horizontal high of around 1.2303. The chart remains negative with a death cross formed last week, while the 20-day simple moving average continues to guide the pair lower.

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