With cracks beginning to emerge in Singapore’s housing market following multiple rounds of cooling measures, questions are arising as to when the government will begin roll back its tightening policies.
Private home prices in the city-state registered their first drop in seven quarters in the October-December period, falling 0.8 percent on-quarter. Meanwhile, public housing prices posted their second consecutive quarterly drop, down 1.3 percent – the worst reading in eight years.
Meantime, developer sales fell 30 percent to 14,678 units in the first eleven months of 2013, from the 20,880 units sold in the same period a year earlier.
Tricia Song, analyst at Barclays says that based on historical experience, the government is unlikely to relax the measures until prices decline 10-15 percent.
“The recent softening of the residential market in terms of volumes and prices and a significant cutback in the government’s land sales program might have raised hopes that the government will unwind its existing tightening policies for property. We believe this is premature as prices are still elevated,” Song wrote in a note this week.
“A correction is warranted before the government rolls back policies that took four years to have an obvious impact,” she added.
