Home
News
默认头像

UK political stability (relative to elsewhere) will support UK markets ahead

2024-12-30FOREXLIVEFOREXLIVE
A key takeaway of the UK election results for markers is the ability to govern

A note from Bank of America prior to the election said that it appeared to be a non-event for UK markets. Which was correct given the opinion polls overwhelmingly favouring the new government.

  • UK exit poll tips a solid win to Labour, 410 seats - new UK government incoming
  • GBP is little changed after the UK election exit poll

BoA concluded by saying one factor which will support GBP will be the election result "as an indicator of political stability relative to elsewhere". Correct.

No one is going to predict smooth sailing for incoming PM Starmer ahead, but a 170-odd seat majority is a solid base to work from. Already I've seen hand-wringing on social media about the far-right party taking 13 seats. 13 out of 650 is like worrying about a pimple on an elephant's ... as the Brits would put it .... arse. Don't lose sight of the big pic (apologies re mixing metaphors).

Elsewhere we've got governments with wafer-thin majorities cobbling together policy as best they can. Staremer can take some hard decisions if that's the path he chooses.

GBP update, yeah, unfussed by the election result given how well telegraphed it was:

gbpusd 05 July 2024 2

Disclaimers

The article is sourced from Forexlive with the original source credited. The views expressed herein are not affiliated with FXOR; readers are encouraged to approach the content rationally. Copyright belongs to the original author. If unintentional infringement upon media or personal intellectual property rights has occurred, please contact us, and we will promptly remove the content. FXOR merely provides information storage services. The article is compiled and released by FXOR; reprints must indicate the original source.