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WTI Pressure Persists Despite Middle East Tensions

2024-07-15kvbkvb
The Japanese Yen (JPY) continues its three-day weakening trend against the US Dollar (USD) on Wednesday, reaching its lowest level since December 6

USDJPY

The Japanese Yen (JPY) continues its three-day weakening trend against the US Dollar (USD) on Wednesday, reaching its lowest level since December 6 during the Asian session. Dovish expectations from the Bank of Japan (BoJ) contribute to the Yen's decline, while reduced bets for an early Federal Reserve rate cut lend support to the USD and the USD/JPY pair.

Technical Levels and Entry Suggestions

The pair's decline below the 147.00 mark suggests a bearish momentum. However, potential corrective declines back below 147.00 could attract buyers near the 146.65 horizontal zone. Traders might consider entry points near this zone, with a stop-loss below 146.10-146.00, aiming for potential bullish reversals.

XAUUSD

Tuesday's trading session for XAUUSD witnessed heightened volatility as U.S. markets reopened after the Martin Luther King, Jr. holiday. U.S. Treasury rates surged, with the 10-year bond surpassing the psychological 4.0%, causing the U.S. dollar to strengthen against most major currencies.

Technical Levels and Entry Suggestions

The resistance at $2,045-$2,050 poses a challenge for buyers. However, a bullish reversal could lead to a breakout, setting the stage for a potential rally toward $2,085, the late December peak. Traders may consider entry points upon a decisive breakout above the resistance levels, with caution as a move beyond $2,050 could be challenging.

WTI

WTI prices faced continued pressure on Wednesday, primarily driven by a stronger dollar and uncertainty over U.S. interest rates. Although concerns about supply disruptions in the Middle East provided some support, the persistent strength of the dollar and Fed officials downplaying rate cut expectations weighed on the market.

Technical Levels and Entry Suggestions

Brent oil futures expiring in March fell to $77.81 a barrel, and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures declined to $72.02 a barrel. The stronger dollar remains a key factor influencing oil prices. Traders may consider short positions with caution, given the geopolitical tensions, and set stop-loss orders to manage potential risks.

Conclusion

In summary, the forex market sees the Japanese Yen weakening against the USD, influenced by dovish BoJ expectations and reduced expectations for a Fed rate cut. Gold faces increased volatility as the U.S. dollar strengthens, and traders should closely watch the resistance levels for potential breakout opportunities. In the oil market, persistent pressure persists due to a stronger dollar, despite concerns about Middle East tensions. Traders should consider both bullish and bearish scenarios, keeping an eye on geopolitical developments and key technical levels for entry and exit points. As always, market conditions can change rapidly, and it's crucial to adapt strategies accordingly.

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